Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.