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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 23, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 1
River Plate

Miguel Rodriguez (7')
Melluso (74'), Licht (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Suarez (3')
Romero (13'), Zuculini (48'), De La Cruz (59'), Casco (74')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Gimnasia and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 13.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawRiver Plate
13.66%20.11%66.23%
Both teams to score 47.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66%46.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.38%68.63%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.8%45.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.91%81.09%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89%13.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.25%39.75%
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 13.66%
    River Plate 66.23%
    Draw 20.11%
GimnasiaDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 4.71%
2-1 @ 3.8%
2-0 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.02%
3-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.66%
1-1 @ 9.56%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.11%
0-2 @ 12.23%
0-1 @ 12.04%
1-2 @ 9.71%
0-3 @ 8.28%
1-3 @ 6.58%
0-4 @ 4.21%
1-4 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-5 @ 1.71%
1-5 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 66.23%

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