Bahia
2 - 2
Independiente

Thaciano (57'), Otavio da Silva Santos (82')
O. Agular Junior D. (66'), Danielzinho (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Herrera (43' pen.), Velasco (51' pen.)
Ostachuk (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bahia and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Independiente
39.98%	24.14%	35.88%

Both teams to score 60.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.33%

41.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.93%

64.07%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01%

20.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.25%

53.75%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96%

23.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14%

56.86%

Score Analysis

Bahia 39.98%

Independiente 35.88%

Draw 24.14%

Bahia	Draw	Independiente
2-1 @ 8.65% 1-0 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.76% Total : 39.98%	1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.14%	1-2 @ 8.13% 0-1 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.88%