Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Patronato

Centurion (41' pen.)
Garcia (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Canto (58'), Gudino (74'), Geminiani (81')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 23.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Patronato
54.07%	22.61%	23.32%

Both teams to score 57.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.99%

42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.59%

64.41%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.5%

15.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.6%

44.4%

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32%

31.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91%

68.09%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 54.07%

Patronato 23.32%

Draw 22.61%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Patronato
2-1 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 6.1% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.75% Total : 54.07%	1-1 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 6.05% 0-1 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.66% Total : 23.32%