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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
FL

Hellas Verona
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Lasagna (17')
Caprari (46'), Ilic (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Castrovilli (81')
Terzic (84')

We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 Fiorentina

While home advantage could prove key for Hellas Verona, we cannot ignore the firepower of Fiorentina. With that in mind, a hard-fought victory for the away side appears to be the most likely result, one which will keep them in the mix for the Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
42.31%25.01%32.69%
Both teams to score 56.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58%46.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3%68.7%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08%21.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81%55.2%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87%27.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48%62.52%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 42.31%
    Fiorentina 32.69%
    Draw 25%
Hellas VeronaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.03%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.31%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.69%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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