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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
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Fiorentina
2 - 3
Atalanta

Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
15.91%20.01%64.07%
Both teams to score 53.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77%41.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38%63.62%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09%38.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36%75.64%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82%12.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.17%37.82%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 15.91%
    Atalanta BC 64.07%
    Draw 20.01%
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 4.47%
2-1 @ 4.45%
2-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.47%
3-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.91%
1-1 @ 9.42%
0-0 @ 4.74%
2-2 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.01%
0-2 @ 10.5%
0-1 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 7.37%
1-3 @ 6.96%
0-4 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 3.28%
2-4 @ 1.73%
0-5 @ 1.63%
1-5 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 64.07%

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