We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Cagliari
The last league draw between these teams came back in January 2013, and that trend for one side or the other to prevail should continue on Sunday - with Atalanta coming out on top.
Virtually back at full strength following a series of absences, the hosts have enough attacking artistry available to them to pick off Cagliari's newly-formed back three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 77.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 3-0 (11.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
