SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Napoli |
25.69% ( -0.07) | 24.99% ( 0.05) | 49.31% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( -0.25) | 50.11% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( -0.22) | 72.07% ( 0.22) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.93% ( -0.2) | 34.06% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.25% ( -0.21) | 70.74% ( 0.21) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( -0.09) | 20.34% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.27% ( -0.14) | 52.73% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.69% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.31% |
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