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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Oct 31, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
CL

Bologna
3 - 2
Cagliari

Barrow (45', 56'), Soriano (52')
Larangeira (37'), De Silvestri (65'), Schouten (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pedro (15'), Simeone (47')
Lykogiannis (21'), Pedro (35'), Cragno (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawCagliari
48.46%24.03%27.52%
Both teams to score 57.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36%44.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99%67.01%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46%18.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.22%49.78%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26%29.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19%65.81%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 48.46%
    Cagliari 27.52%
    Draw 24.02%
BolognaDrawCagliari
2-1 @ 9.5%
1-0 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 7.83%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-1 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 27.52%


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