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TL
Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
CL

Torino
2 - 3
Cagliari

Belotti (4' pen., 49')
Rincon (31'), Bonazzoli (65')
Milinkovic-Savic (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pedro (12'), Simeone (19', 73')
Rog (31'), Lykogiannis (75'), Pavoletti (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawCagliari
39.01%26.11%34.87%
Both teams to score 53.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.21%50.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32%72.68%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48%25.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62%60.37%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1%27.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48%63.51%
Score Analysis
    Torino 39.01%
    Cagliari 34.87%
    Draw 26.11%
TorinoDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 6.64%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.01%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 9.09%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 5.8%
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.87%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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