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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
HV

Parma
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Kurtic (1')
Alves (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dimarco (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawHellas Verona
33.99%26.42%39.58%
Both teams to score 52.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78%52.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.08%73.92%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86%29.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93%65.07%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13%25.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15%60.85%
Score Analysis
    Parma 33.99%
    Hellas Verona 39.58%
    Draw 26.42%
ParmaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.99%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.89%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 39.58%


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