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Coppa Italia | Second Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico

Torino
4 - 0
Cittadella

Radonjic (21'), Pellegri (55'), Schuurs (76'), Zima (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Danzi (39')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 2-0 Cittadella

With both sides struggling in their respective leagues, we would expect the Serie A side Torino to come out on top with the quality of players they have at their disposal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawCittadella
43.25% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 27.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 28.88% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.35% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)59.21% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (0.012 0.01)79.63% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85%27.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45%62.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62% (0.023999999999994 0.02)36.38% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (0.023 0.02)73.17% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 43.24%
    Cittadella 28.88%
    Draw 27.87%
TorinoDrawCittadella
1-0 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.24%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 28.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 9 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Torino
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Torino
Saturday, September 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Lecce
Monday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 SPAL
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 Cittadella
Saturday, October 8 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cittadella 0-2 Ternana
Saturday, October 1 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggina 3-0 Cittadella
Saturday, September 17 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cittadella 1-0 Frosinone
Saturday, September 10 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 0-0 Cittadella
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B


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