SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Inter Milan | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Roma | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 5 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Torino win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Torino |
63.2% ( -9.25) | 20.06% ( 3.31) | 16.74% ( 5.94) |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( 5.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.12% ( -1.56) | 39.88% ( 1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.76% ( -1.63) | 62.24% ( 1.64) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( -2.77) | 12.02% ( 2.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.51% ( -6.22) | 37.49% ( 6.23) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.92% ( 7.72) | 37.07% ( -7.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.14% ( 6.91) | 73.86% ( -6.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Torino |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( -1.74) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.49)1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.42)3-0 @ 7.06% ( -2.26)3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.48)4-0 @ 3.74% ( -1.81)4-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.74)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.47)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.59% ( -1.06)5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.55)Other @ 3.83% Total : 63.2% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 1.45) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 1.14)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.35)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 1.47) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 1.1)0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.86)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.62)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.69)Other @ 2.31% Total : 16.74% |
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