Remarkably, only rock-bottom Monza have conceded more goals than Inter in the second half of Serie A matches this season, so even if they can break down obdurate opponents, they may not have it their own way until the final whistle. By the finest of margins, though, the hosts should find a way to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Torino win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Torino
63.2% ( -9.25)	20.06% ( 3.31)	16.74% ( 5.94)

Both teams to score 55.36% (

5.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.12% (

-1.56)

39.88% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.76% (

-1.63)

62.24% (

1.64)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.98% (

-2.77)

12.02% (

2.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.51% (

-6.22)

37.49% (

6.23)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.92% (

7.72)

37.07% (

-7.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14% (

6.91)

73.86% (

-6.91)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 63.2%

Torino 16.74%

Draw 20.06%

Inter Milan	Draw	Torino
2-0 @ 10% ( -1.74) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.42) 3-0 @ 7.06% ( -2.26) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.48) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( -1.81) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.74) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.47) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -1.06) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.55) Other @ 3.83% Total : 63.2%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( 1.45) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 1.14) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.35) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.06%	1-2 @ 4.65% ( 1.47) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 1.1) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.86) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.62) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.69) Other @ 2.31% Total : 16.74%