Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
