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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
LL

Torino
1 - 0
Lecce

Vlasic (40')
Ilkhan (53'), Schuurs (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hjulmand (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Torino
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Lecce
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Lecce

Under Juric, Torino rarely give away goals cheaply, so Lecce are likely to find it tough to break down their hosts. With some of their new signings settling nicely, Il Toro can claim three more points to prolong their positive start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawLecce
43.75% (0.313 0.31) 27.44% (-0.026 -0.03) 28.81% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.31% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)57.69% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)78.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.154 0.15)26.18% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (0.205 0.2)61.27% (-0.202 -0.2)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.227 -0.23)35.62% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.236 -0.24)72.39% (0.23899999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Torino 43.75%
    Lecce 28.81%
    Draw 27.44%
TorinoDrawLecce
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.75%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Torino
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Torino
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Torino
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 3-0 Palermo
Saturday, August 6 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Trabzonspor 0-3 Torino
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Lecce
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Cittadella
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Pordenone
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B


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