Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 49.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cittadella in this match.
-0.97) 
0.04) 
