With both sides struggling in their respective leagues, we would expect the Serie A side Torino to come out on top with the quality of players they have at their disposal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
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