Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
0.66) 
-0.27) 
