SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
45.55% ( 0.28) | 24.69% ( -0.04) | 29.76% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.78% ( 0.05) | 46.22% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.49% ( 0.05) | 68.51% ( -0.05) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( 0.14) | 20.37% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% ( 0.23) | 52.78% ( -0.23) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( -0.14) | 28.95% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% ( -0.17) | 64.83% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.76% |
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