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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 17, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
UL

Crotone
1 - 2
Udinese

Simy (68' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
De Paul (41', 74')
Pereyra (48'), Forestieri (90+4')
De Paul (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Udinese in this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawUdinese
33.87%24.88%41.25%
Both teams to score 57.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48%45.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15%67.85%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03%25.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01%60.99%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96%22.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63%55.37%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 33.87%
    Udinese 41.25%
    Draw 24.88%
CrotoneDrawUdinese
2-1 @ 7.87%
1-0 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.87%
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.88%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-1 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 6.55%
1-3 @ 4.45%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.25%

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