With their impressive form in the league, the expectation would be a win for Udinese. Even though Monza have improved, Udinese may be a test too far at this stage of their development.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
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