SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monza in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monza.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Spezia |
62.27% ( 0.14) | 20.61% ( -0.04) | 17.12% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( 0.05) | 41.71% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% ( 0.05) | 64.11% ( -0.04) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% ( 0.06) | 12.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.81% ( 0.11) | 39.2% ( -0.11) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% ( -0.08) | 37.73% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.49% ( -0.07) | 74.51% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Spezia |
| 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 17.12% |
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