Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Frosinone
57.91% ( 0.21)	21.49% ( -0.24)	20.6% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 57.73% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.78% (

1.13)

40.21% (

-1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.41% (

1.15)

62.58% (

-1.16)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.34% (

0.44)

13.66% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.15% (

0.86)

40.85% (

-0.86)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.87% (

0.67)

33.13% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.27% (

0.74)

69.73% (

-0.74)

Score Analysis

Monza 57.91%

Frosinone 20.61%

Draw 21.49%

Monza	Draw	Frosinone
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.34% Total : 57.91%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.49%	1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 20.61%