Monza's wait for a win will go on, as their impressive business in the transfer market may take time to translate into a more competitive team on the pitch. As Atalanta are more settled, and have re-found the winning habit, they can take both three points and top spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Monza had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Atalanta BC
31.09% ( 2.4)	24.49% ( 0.62)	44.42% ( -3.01)

Both teams to score 57.97% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.29% (

-1.54)

44.71% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.93% (

-1.51)

67.07% (

1.51)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

0.83)

27.31% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.24% (

1.07)

62.76% (

-1.06)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76% (

-1.87)

20.25% (

1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.42% (

-3.09)

52.59% (

3.1)

Score Analysis

Monza 31.09%

Atalanta BC 44.42%

Draw 24.49%

Monza	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.09%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.49%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.44) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.42%