With 30 goals coming in the last six Serie A meetings between Udinese and Atalanta, at an average of five per game, an open affair may be expected. However, the visitors are cut from a totally different cloth this term, and even with numerous injuries hampering them, they can take three points home from a closely-contested encounter.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.17) 
