The manner of Montpellier's smash-and-grab win over Monaco was wholly impressive in the absence of Savanier, but with two-goal hero Mavididi now missing as well, La Paillade's cup journey is set to end here.
Marseille can afford to dream of Coupe de France glory while they remain well clear of the Champions League-chasing pack in Ligue 1, and despite some expected rotation, Sampaoli's bountiful resources ought to get the job done convincingly.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.83%).
