SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Rodez AF |
63.65% ( -0.18) | 20.37% ( 0.07) | 15.98% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% ( -0.12) | 42.75% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( -0.12) | 65.15% ( 0.12) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.23% ( -0.09) | 12.76% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.96% ( -0.18) | 39.04% ( 0.18) |
| Rodez AF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.23% ( 0.06) | 39.76% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.56% ( 0.05) | 76.44% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Rodez AF |
| 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 63.64% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 15.98% |
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