SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Rennes |
34.85% ( -0.8) | 24.39% ( -0.09) | 40.75% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 59.67% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( 0.31) | 43.06% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( 0.3) | 65.46% ( -0.3) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( -0.3) | 24.25% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% ( -0.43) | 58.61% ( 0.42) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( 0.56) | 21.22% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.88% ( 0.86) | 54.11% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.76% |
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