SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%).
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | St Pauli |
40.49% ( 1.02) | 24.23% ( 0.03) | 35.28% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.36% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% ( -0.28) | 42.21% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( -0.28) | 64.61% ( 0.28) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 0.36) | 20.97% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% ( 0.56) | 53.73% ( -0.56) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( -0.69) | 23.62% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( -1.01) | 57.7% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.75% Total : 40.49% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.28% |
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