SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
74.42% ( 0.21) | 16.33% ( -0.12) | 9.25% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.4% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( 0.28) | 41.23% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.37% ( 0.28) | 63.63% ( -0.29) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.48% ( 0.12) | 9.52% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.1% ( 0.28) | 31.9% ( -0.29) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.17% ( -0) | 49.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.46% ( -0) | 84.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 74.4% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 16.34% | 0-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 9.25% |
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