SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
30.82% ( -0.42) | 26.39% ( 0.21) | 42.79% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( -1) | 52.93% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% ( -0.86) | 74.53% ( 0.86) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( -0.81) | 31.62% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( -0.94) | 68.03% ( 0.93) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( -0.34) | 24.52% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( -0.48) | 58.98% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.78% |
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