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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
24.18% ( 0.02) | 19.93% ( -0.01) | 55.89% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.78% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.91% ( 0.06) | 28.09% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.15% ( 0.08) | 48.85% ( -0.07) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( 0.05) | 23.3% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.76% ( 0.07) | 57.24% ( -0.07) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.67% ( 0.02) | 10.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.22% ( 0.04) | 33.78% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 5.8% 1-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 24.18% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.93% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.88% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.83% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.76% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.89% |
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