SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
67.7% ( 0.14) | 17.46% ( -0.04) | 14.84% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.55% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.88% ( -0.04) | 31.12% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.47% ( -0.05) | 52.53% ( 0.04) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.53% ( 0.02) | 8.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.63% ( 0.05) | 29.36% ( -0.05) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( -0.16) | 33.84% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.49% ( -0.17) | 70.51% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 67.7% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 17.46% | 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 14.84% |
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