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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
BRITA-Arena
ML

Wiesbaden
1 - 3
Mainz

Gozusirin (14')
Carstens (56'), Jonjic (120+3')
FT
(aet)
Kohr (59'), Burkardt (113'), Amiri (120+1')
Kohr (54'), Henriksen (112'), Caci (116'), Veratschnig (120'), Amiri (120+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wiesbaden 0-2 Metz
Saturday, July 27 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Montpellier
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We say: Wehen Wiesbaden 1-3 Mainz 05

Despite Wiesbaden making an unbeaten and promising start to the season, Mainz have been in superb form in front of goal in pre-season and we expect that to continue in their opening game as they look to build early momentum on Friday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Wehen Wiesbaden win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%).

Result
Wehen WiesbadenDrawMainz 05
32.14% (-0.764 -0.76) 25.04% (0.501 0.5) 42.82% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 56.57% (-2.022 -2.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-2.512 -2.51)46.75% (2.518 2.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-2.398 -2.4)69.01% (2.402 2.4)
Wehen Wiesbaden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-1.694 -1.69)27.64% (1.699 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (-2.232 -2.23)63.18% (2.237 2.24)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (-0.938 -0.94)21.82% (0.943 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (-1.452 -1.45)55.04% (1.457 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Wehen Wiesbaden 32.14%
    Mainz 05 42.82%
    Draw 25.03%
Wehen WiesbadenDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.447 0.45)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.615 0.61)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.697 0.7)
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% (0.344 0.34)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wiesbaden 0-2 Metz
Saturday, July 27 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: FC 08 Homburg 1-1 Wiesbaden
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Wiesbaden 1-1 FC Giessen
Sunday, July 14 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Wiesbaden 1-2 Jahn
Tuesday, May 28 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga Playoffs
Last Game: Jahn 2-2 Wiesbaden
Friday, May 24 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga Playoffs
Last Game: Wiesbaden 1-2 St Pauli
Sunday, May 19 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Montpellier
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Preussen Munster
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Eintracht Trier 3-0 Mainz
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Mainz
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, May 5 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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