SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Werder Bremen |
43.38% ( -1.31) | 23.44% ( 0.1) | 33.18% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 62.66% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.05% ( -0.02) | 38.95% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.73% ( -0.02) | 61.27% ( 0.03) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( -0.54) | 18.34% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.55% ( -0.93) | 49.45% ( 0.94) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.69) | 23.26% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.81% ( 0.99) | 57.19% ( -0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.66% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.18% |
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