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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
WB

Borussia M'bach
4 - 1
Werder Bremen

Plea (11'), Friedl (12' og.), Honorat (45'), Stoger (67')
Itakura (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Topp (75')
Agu (19'), Weiser (22'), Lynen (53')
Weiser (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Werder Bremen

It is difficult to ignore Werder Bremen's strong goalscoring form of late, as well as their good showings on the road in recent weeks. Despite winning their last two home games, Borussia Monchengladbach have struggled at Borussia Park, and it would not be surprising if they dropped points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWerder Bremen
43.38% (-1.313 -1.31) 23.44% (0.101 0.1) 33.18% (1.215 1.22)
Both teams to score 62.66% (0.14599999999999 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.05% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)38.95% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.73% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.27% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (-0.544 -0.54)18.34% (0.547 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55% (-0.932 -0.93)49.45% (0.936 0.94)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (0.68900000000001 0.69)23.26% (-0.685 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (0.991 0.99)57.19% (-0.988 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 43.38%
    Werder Bremen 33.18%
    Draw 23.44%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 43.38%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.53% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.18 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.184 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.132 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.084 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 33.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Wednesday, October 30 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SC Paderborn 0-1 Werder Bremen
Wednesday, October 30 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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