SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.23%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Werder Bremen |
50.92% ( 0.49) | 21.33% ( -0.03) | 27.76% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 67.23% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.41% ( -0.24) | 31.59% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.91% ( -0.28) | 53.09% ( 0.28) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% ( 0.07) | 12.87% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.73% ( 0.14) | 39.27% ( -0.14) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( -0.41) | 22.84% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( -0.61) | 56.56% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.33% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.76% |
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