SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambuur in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
48.4% ( -1.09) | 22.88% ( 0.2) | 28.72% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.53% ( -0.34) | 38.47% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.23% ( -0.35) | 60.76% ( 0.35) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( -0.51) | 16.2% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.31% ( -0.95) | 45.69% ( 0.94) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.25% ( 0.42) | 25.74% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.32% ( 0.57) | 60.68% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.6% Total : 48.4% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.72% |
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