SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Cambuur |
45.73% ( 0.22) | 22.9% ( 0.67) | 31.37% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 63.87% ( -2.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.98% ( -3.73) | 37.02% ( 3.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.79% ( -4.15) | 59.21% ( 4.15) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( -1.36) | 16.64% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.51% ( -2.5) | 46.48% ( 2.5) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -2.3) | 23.37% ( 2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( -3.46) | 57.35% ( 3.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.93)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.57)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.37)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 4.41% Total : 45.73% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.28)0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.67)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.64)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.37)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.37% |
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