SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Jong PSV |
65.94% ( 0.04) | 17.57% ( -0) | 16.49% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 64.48% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.95% ( -0.03) | 28.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.2% ( -0.04) | 48.8% ( 0.04) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.97% ( 0) | 8.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.72% ( -0) | 28.28% ( 0.01) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( -0.05) | 29.9% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.01% ( -0.07) | 65.99% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.46% 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.09% Total : 65.94% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 17.57% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 16.49% |
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