Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 77.93%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 8.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.65%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Heracles in this match.
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