SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.17%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | De Graafschap |
36.56% ( 1.27) | 22.71% ( 0.04) | 40.72% ( -1.31) |
| Both teams to score 66.37% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.53% ( 0.05) | 34.46% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.61% ( 0.05) | 56.39% ( -0.06) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( 0.63) | 19.45% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.71% ( 1.03) | 51.29% ( -1.04) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.52) | 17.6% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.82% ( -0.9) | 48.17% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.41% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.1)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 40.72% |
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