SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 58.05%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.04%) and 3-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong Ajax |
58.05% ( -0.02) | 19.92% ( 0.01) | 22.03% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.85% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.02) | 30.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.04% ( -0.03) | 51.96% ( 0.03) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.42% ( -0.01) | 10.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.65% ( -0.03) | 34.35% ( 0.03) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( -0) | 26.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.49% ( -0.01) | 61.51% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.94% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 58.05% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 19.92% | 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.72% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 22.03% |
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