SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.19%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong AZ |
50.47% ( 0.01) | 21.34% ( -0) | 28.19% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 67.58% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.71% ( 0.01) | 31.29% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.27% ( 0.01) | 52.73% ( -0.01) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.1% ( 0) | 12.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.68% ( 0.01) | 39.32% ( -0.01) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% | 22.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.07% | 55.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 6.19% 2-0 @ 6.06% 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.14% 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.18% 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.47% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.78% 0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.34% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.26% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.19% |
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