SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 54.78%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Jong Ajax |
54.78% ( 0.14) | 21.3% ( -0.01) | 23.92% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 63.21% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.86% ( -0.1) | 35.14% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.85% ( -0.11) | 57.14% ( 0.11) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( 0.01) | 12.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.63% ( 0.02) | 39.36% ( -0.02) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( -0.16) | 27.41% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( -0.21) | 62.88% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.78% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.3% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.71% Total : 23.92% |
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