Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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