Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
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