Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
-0) 
0.01) 
