SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.86%) and 0-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong Ajax |
36.31% ( -0.02) | 22.6% ( 0) | 41.09% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.76% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.05% ( -0.02) | 33.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.2% ( -0.02) | 55.8% ( 0.02) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.66% ( -0.02) | 19.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.89% ( -0.03) | 51.11% ( 0.03) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( 0) | 17.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.46% ( 0) | 47.53% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.31% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.28% Total : 41.09% |
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