SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong PSV |
30.81% ( -0.09) | 23.07% ( -0.09) | 46.12% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 62.93% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.86% ( 0.37) | 38.14% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.59% ( 0.4) | 60.41% ( -0.39) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( 0.13) | 24.25% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% ( 0.18) | 58.61% ( -0.18) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.07% ( 0.22) | 16.93% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53% ( 0.38) | 47% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.81% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.24% Total : 46.12% |
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