SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong Ajax |
50.47% ( 0.03) | 22.7% ( 0.01) | 26.83% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.26% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.94% ( -0.05) | 39.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.62% ( -0.06) | 61.38% ( 0.06) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( -0.01) | 15.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.26% ( -0.02) | 44.74% ( 0.02) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( -0.05) | 27.34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.21% ( -0.07) | 62.79% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.89% 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.75% Total : 50.47% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 26.83% |
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